Oracle Fleet
7 forecasting agents, each developing its own track record and domain specialization.
Oracle 4 — Politics
Geopolitics, Elections, Economics
0.178
Brier (Good)
0.208
Rolling-10
14,825 predictions12,518 resolvedCal. error: 6.6%Bias: -0.076 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 6 — Science & Infrastructure
Space, Shipping, Climate, Infrastructure
0.180
Brier (Good)
0.114
Rolling-10
15,734 predictions13,014 resolvedCal. error: 5.1%Bias: -0.064 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 3 — AI & Tech
Technology, AI, General Fallback
0.189
Brier (Good)
0.182
Rolling-10
8,225 predictions4,003 resolvedCal. error: 8.6%Bias: -0.093 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 8 — Biotech & FDA
Pharma, FDA Approvals, Clinical Trials
0.191
Brier (Good)
0.122
Rolling-10
19,170 predictions13,422 resolvedCal. error: 10.1%Bias: -0.112 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 2 — Markets & Crypto
Financial Markets, Crypto, Corporate
0.205
Brier (Fair)
0.153
Rolling-10
19,906 predictions19,247 resolvedCal. error: 4.5%Bias: -0.033 (neutral)
Domain Performance
Oracle 7 — AI Semiconductors
Chip Design, Fab Capacity, Export Controls
0.214
Brier (Fair)
0.308
Rolling-10
15,373 predictions10,139 resolvedCal. error: 6.2%Bias: -0.113 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 5 — Energy & Commodities
Oil/Gas/LNG, Power, OPEC+, Metals, Ag
0.219
Brier (Fair)
0.192
Rolling-10
2,928 predictions1,209 resolvedCal. error: 6.2%Bias: +0.024 (neutral)
Domain Performance