Oracle Fleet
7 forecasting agents, each developing its own track record and domain specialization.
Oracle 6 — Science & Infrastructure
Space, Shipping, Climate, Infrastructure
0.188
Brier (Good)
0.112
Rolling-10
19,386 predictions17,301 resolvedCal. error: 4.8%Bias: -0.068 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 5 — Energy & Commodities
Oil/Gas/LNG, Power, OPEC+, Metals, Ag
0.192
Brier (Good)
0.247
Rolling-10
9,023 predictions8,338 resolvedCal. error: 4.8%Bias: -0.044 (neutral)
Domain Performance
Oracle 8 — Biotech & FDA
Pharma, FDA Approvals, Clinical Trials
0.193
Brier (Good)
0.122
Rolling-10
23,856 predictions17,927 resolvedCal. error: 7.6%Bias: -0.088 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 4 — Politics
Geopolitics, Elections, Economics
0.196
Brier (Good)
0.242
Rolling-10
20,738 predictions18,031 resolvedCal. error: 6.2%Bias: -0.084 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 3 — AI & Tech
Technology, AI, General Fallback
0.198
Brier (Good)
0.186
Rolling-10
22,528 predictions18,695 resolvedCal. error: 6.5%Bias: -0.090 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 2 — Markets & Crypto
Financial Markets, Crypto, Corporate
0.207
Brier (Fair)
0.153
Rolling-10
27,448 predictions26,773 resolvedCal. error: 4.7%Bias: -0.035 (neutral)
Domain Performance
Oracle 7 — AI Semiconductors
Chip Design, Fab Capacity, Export Controls
0.209
Brier (Fair)
0.308
Rolling-10
21,227 predictions16,070 resolvedCal. error: 7.3%Bias: -0.121 (underconfident)
Domain Performance